Serie A
LecceLecceLWLLW
Full time0-2Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1017:00UK16°C · Clearing
JuventusJuventusDLWDL

Lecce 0-2 Juventus correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

0-1 correct score13.5%
1-1 correct score12%
0-2 correct score11.4%

Result

Lecce0-2Juventus

Final score 0-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 11.4%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.5%0-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Lecce goals, columns = Juventus goals. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.5%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 0-113.5%
  2. 1-112.0%
  3. 0-211.4%
  4. 1-29.3%
  5. 0-09.3%
  6. 1-06.5%
  7. 0-36.3%
  8. 1-35.1%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3% 13.5% 11.4% 6.3% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.5% 12% 9.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Lecce · Columns: Juventus

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.3%

0

20.0%

1

26.4%

2

21.1%

3

12.9%

4

9.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

LecceLecceLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-0

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

JuventusJuventusLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0LecceLecce wins
2Draws
3JuventusJuventus wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
LecceLecce
0 – 1
JuventusJuventus
JuventusJuventus
1 – 1
LecceLecce
JuventusJuventus
2 – 1
LecceLecce
LecceLecce
1 – 1
JuventusJuventus
LecceLecce
0 – 3
JuventusJuventus

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 13.5% at 0-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Lecce have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, Juventus 1.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 44.3% for over 2.5 and 70.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 44.3% for three or more goals and 70.7% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Juventus favoured at 57.7%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

57.7%Favoured: Juventus
45.3%Both Teams to Score
44.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 0-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 44.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutJuventus are the model’s pick on the result at 57.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

LecceLecce (1)
Willem Geubbels
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
16.3%
6.13
1+ shot on target
37.1%
2.70
2+ shots
40.5%
2.47
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.82
On target0.94
Goals0.36
JuventusJuventus (1)
Edon Zhegrova
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
9.3%
10.75
1+ shot on target
49.2%
2.03
2+ shots
39.2%
2.55
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.02
On target2.01
Goals0.29

FAQ

What was the score in Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce vs Juventus finished 0-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 0-1 at 13.5%; it gave the actual 0-2 a 11.4% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.