Serie A
GenoaGenoaDLWLW
Wed, 28 Oct 202628/1019:45UK16°C · Clear
JuventusJuventusLWDLW

Genoa vs Juventus correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

0-1 correct score14.6%
1-1 correct score12.8%
0-2 correct score11.1%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 14.6%0-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Genoa goals, columns = Juventus goals. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 14.6%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 0-114.6%
  2. 1-112.8%
  3. 0-211.1%
  4. 0-011.1%
  5. 1-28.9%
  6. 1-07.8%
  7. 0-35.4%
  8. 2-14.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1% 14.6% 11.1% 5.4% 2% 0.6%
1 7.8% 12.8% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.4% 4.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Genoa · Columns: Juventus

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

11.1%

0

22.4%

1

27.2%

2

20.0%

3

11.3%

4

7.5%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GenoaGenoaLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 1-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

JuventusJuventusLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 2-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0GenoaGenoa wins
1Draws
4JuventusJuventus wins
1.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
JuventusJuventus
2 – 0
GenoaGenoa
GenoaGenoa
0 – 1
JuventusJuventus
JuventusJuventus
1 – 0
GenoaGenoa
GenoaGenoa
0 – 3
JuventusJuventus
JuventusJuventus
0 – 0
GenoaGenoa

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 14.6% at 0-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Genoa have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, Juventus 1.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 39.3% for over 2.5 and 66.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.4 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 39.3% for three or more goals and 66.5% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Juventus favoured at 55.1%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

55.1%Favoured: Juventus
42.8%Both Teams to Score
39.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 0-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 39.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutJuventus are the model’s pick on the result at 55.1%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

AI experts on Correct Score

Open paper-trading picks from our model-strategy experts on this market, a transparent lab, never advice.

Expert Pick
correct_score v1.0 Correct score 0-1

See all experts & their track records

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

GenoaGenoa (1)
Stephan El Shaarawy
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
7.4%
13.51
1+ shot on target
31.1%
3.22
2+ shots
21.3%
4.69
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.36
On target1.02
Goals0.21
JuventusJuventus (1)
Edon Zhegrova
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
9.6%
10.42
1+ shot on target
48.7%
2.05
2+ shots
37.3%
2.68
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.13
On target2.12
Goals0.32

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Genoa vs Juventus?
The model's most likely scoreline for Genoa vs Juventus is 0-1 at 14.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.