AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 5 Nov 2026

Segunda División
Las PalmasLas PalmasDLLWW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1117:30UK
EldenseEldenseWWWLL

Las Palmas vs Eldense corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined52.1%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined47.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners47.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Las Palmas.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 72.1% 27.9%
8.5 corners 60.2% 39.8%
9.5 corners 47.9% 52.1%
10.5 corners 36.2% 63.8%
11.5 corners 26.0% 74.0%
12.5 corners 17.8% 82.2%

Who wins the corner count

Las Palmas
53.9%
Level
10.9%
Eldense
35.2%

Team corners lines

Las Palmas

Over 3.5
72.8%
Over 4.5
57.1%
Over 5.5
41.6%

Eldense

Over 3.5
60.4%
Over 4.5
42.9%
Over 5.5
28.0%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Las Palmas's; Eldense gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Las Palmas line Las Palmas Eldense
-1.5 42.7% 57.3%
-0.5 53.9% 46.1%
+0.5 64.8% 35.2%
+1.5 74.6% 25.4%
Las PalmasLas Palmas

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Las Palmas at home and Eldense away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

EldenseEldense
Statistic
Las Palmas
Eldense
Corners won per game at this venue
4.7
5.2

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.3
6.0

First-half corners won per game
2.2
2.9

Second-half corners won per game
1.9
2.8

Matches with more corners than the opponent
25.0%
58.3%

Matches with corner data
12
12

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.3%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
54,318Matches graded

In 22,287 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 5 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 55.0%✗ 53.2%✗ 53.7%✗ 53.7%✓ 58.3%✗ 53.6%✗ 54.2%✓ 54.3%✗ 58.4%✗ 52.2%
3 of 10 recent calls hit.
Cardiff vs West Ham2026-11-04Over 9.5 55.0%Hit
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough2026-11-04Over 9.5 53.2%Miss
Bristol City vs Wolves2026-11-04Over 9.5 53.7%Miss
Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen2026-11-04Over 9.5 53.7%Miss
Blackburn vs Stoke2026-11-03Over 9.5 58.3%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 47.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 72.1% for over 7.5 to 17.8% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.9%. Between the two sides, Las Palmas are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.9%, with a level count at 10.9%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Las Palmas over 4.5 corners sits at 57.1% and Eldense at 42.9%. This season Las Palmas have averaged 4.1 corners won a game and Eldense 5.7.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

47.9%Over 9.5 corners
53.9%Most corners: Las Palmas
57.1%Las Palmas over 4.5 corners
42.9%Eldense over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 47.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderLas Palmas are the pick to win the corner count at 53.9%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 47.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Las PalmasLas Palmas

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

EldenseEldense
Statistic
Las Palmas
Eldense
corners won per game
4.1
5.7

corners conceded per game
5.8
5.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Las Palmas vs Eldense?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 47.9% for Las Palmas vs Eldense.
Which team will win the corner count in Las Palmas vs Eldense?
The model rates Las Palmas to win the corner count at 53.9%, with a level count at 10.9%.
How many corners do Las Palmas and Eldense average this season?
Las Palmas have won 4.1 corners a game this season and Eldense 5.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Segunda DivisiónLas Palmas fixtures and statsEldense fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.