La Liga
La CorunaLa CorunaWDLDL
Full time1-1Fri, 16 Oct 202616/1020:00UK17°C · Rain
LevanteLevanteWDLLD

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Levante correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.9%
2-1 correct score8.6%
1-2 correct score8.1%

Result

La Coruna1-1Levante

Final score 1-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 11.9%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = La Coruna goals, columns = Levante goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.9%
  2. 2-18.6%
  3. 1-28.1%
  4. 1-07.3%
  5. 0-16.8%
  6. 2-26.2%
  7. 2-06.0%
  8. 0-05.7%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7% 6.8% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.3% 11.9% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6% 8.6% 6.2% 3% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: La Coruna · Columns: Levante

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.7%

0

14.2%

1

23.2%

2

22.4%

3

16.6%

4

17.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

La CorunaLa CorunaLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

LevanteLevanteLast 5
W
Win · 5-2
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 3-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2La CorunaLa Coruna wins
3Draws
0LevanteLevante wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
La CorunaLa Coruna
2 – 2
LevanteLevante
LevanteLevante
2 – 2
La CorunaLa Coruna
La CorunaLa Coruna
2 – 1
LevanteLevante
LevanteLevante
1 – 1
La CorunaLa Coruna
La CorunaLa Coruna
2 – 0
LevanteLevante

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 11.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: La Coruna have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, Levante 2.2 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 56.9% for over 2.5 and 80.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 56.9% for three or more goals and 80.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given La Coruna favoured at 40.2%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

40.2%Favoured: La Coruna
60.3%Both Teams to Score
56.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 56.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutLa Coruna are the model’s pick on the result at 40.2%, context for how the goals may flow.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

La CorunaLa Coruna (1)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
34.4%
2.91
1+ shot on target
69.4%
1.44
2+ shots
62.2%
1.61
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.65
On target1.49
Goals0.53
LevanteLevante (1)
Etta Eyong
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
18.3%
5.46
1+ shot on target
49.1%
2.04
2+ shots
39.0%
2.56
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.80
On target1.40
Goals0.42

FAQ

What was the score in La Coruna vs Levante?
La Coruna vs Levante finished 1-1, exactly the model's most likely scoreline (11.9%).
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More La Liga, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.