Süper Lig
Kasimpasa vs 
Konyaspor Corners
Result
We called Under 9.5 at 53.0% and it missed (10 in the match).
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 46.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 71.1% for over 7.5 to 17.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.0%. Head to head on corners, Kasimpasa are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.2%, with a level count at 10.8%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| 10.5 corners | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| 11.5 corners | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| 12.5 corners | 17.4% | 82.6% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
71.5%
55.9%
40.7%
59.8%
42.7%
28.1%
Corner handicap
| Kasimpasa line | Kasimpasa | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| -0.5 | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| +0.5 | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| +1.5 | 73.7% | 26.3% |
This season (2026/27)
3.4Kasimpasa corners won per game7.8Kasimpasa corners conceded per game2.2Konyaspor corners won per game5.8Konyaspor corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Kasimpasa.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
47.0%Over 9.5 corners55.9%Kasimpasa over 4.5 corners42.7%Konyaspor over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Kasimpasa over 4.5 corners sits at 55.9% and Konyaspor at 42.7%. This season Kasimpasa have averaged 3.4 corners won a game and Konyaspor 2.2.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 47.0% for Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor.
Which team will win the corner count in Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated Kasimpasa to win the corner count at 53.2%, with a level count at 10.8%.
How many corners do Kasimpasa and Konyaspor average this season?
Kasimpasa have won 3.4 corners a game this season and Konyaspor 2.2.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,686 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
