Heerenveen 4-0 Excelsior both teams to score: our prediction vs the result
Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Result
Heerenveen4-0Excelsior
We called Yes at 61.9% and it missed.
Model read
A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.
Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.
Conviction: Moderate
Both teams to score · Yes61.9%
Both Teams to Score
Related market Over 2.5 goals 59.9%
Recent scoring & conceding
Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.
Each team to score
By half
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.
Form & head-to-head
Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.
Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.
D
L
D
W
L
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
W
D
L
D
L
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Match outlook
The model leans Heerenveen to win.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 61.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Heerenveen have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded, Excelsior 1.8 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 59.9% for over 2.5 and 82.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. Heerenveen have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Excelsior in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.
In-depth analysis
On the goals side, the model sees 59.9% for three or more goals and 82.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Heerenveen favoured at 45.1%, a competitive game tends to open up.
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
This season
2026/27 · Recorded results.
Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
FAQ
Did both teams score in Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
More Eredivisie, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
