2. Bundesliga
Greuther FurthGreuther FurthWLDDL
Full time2-0Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1012:00UK
BraunschweigBraunschweigLLDLW

Greuther Furth 2-0 Braunschweig correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.6%
2-1 correct score9.1%
1-2 correct score7.5%

Result

Greuther Furth2-0Braunschweig

Final score 2-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 6.7%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.6%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Greuther Furth goals, columns = Braunschweig goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.6%
  2. 2-19.1%
  3. 1-27.5%
  4. 1-07.5%
  5. 2-06.7%
  6. 2-26.2%
  7. 0-16.1%
  8. 0-05.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4% 6.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.5% 11.6% 7.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.1% 6.2% 2.8% 1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Greuther Furth · Columns: Braunschweig

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.4%

0

13.6%

1

22.8%

2

22.4%

3

16.9%

4

17.9%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Greuther FurthGreutherLast 5
W
Win · 4-3
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

BraunschweigBraunschweigLast 5
L
Loss · 3-5
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 1-0

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Greuther FurthGreuther wins
2Draws
2BraunschweigBraunschweig wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Greuther FurthGreuther
0 – 0
BraunschweigBraunschweig
BraunschweigBraunschweig
3 – 2
Greuther FurthGreuther
Greuther FurthGreuther
3 – 0
BraunschweigBraunschweig
BraunschweigBraunschweig
2 – 0
Greuther FurthGreuther
Greuther FurthGreuther
3 – 3
BraunschweigBraunschweig

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 11.6% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Greuther Furth have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, Braunschweig 1.4 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 58.2% for over 2.5 and 81.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 58.2% for three or more goals and 81.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Greuther Furth favoured at 43.7%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

43.7%Favoured: Greuther Furth
60.8%Both Teams to Score
58.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 58.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGreuther Furth are the model’s pick on the result at 43.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.

FAQ

What was the score in Greuther Furth vs Braunschweig?
Greuther Furth vs Braunschweig finished 2-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 11.6%; it gave the actual 2-0 a 6.7% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.