2. Bundesliga
CottbusCottbusWDLDD
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1017:30UK
BochumBochumDLLLD

Cottbus vs Bochum correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.3%
0-1 correct score9.8%
1-0 correct score8.9%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.3%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Cottbus goals, columns = Bochum goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.3%
  2. 0-19.8%
  3. 1-08.9%
  4. 0-08.5%
  5. 1-28.4%
  6. 2-17.7%
  7. 0-27.0%
  8. 2-05.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5% 9.8% 7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.9% 13.3% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Cottbus · Columns: Bochum

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.5%

0

18.7%

1

26.0%

2

21.5%

3

13.7%

4

11.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

CottbusCottbusLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

BochumBochumLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 1-1

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 13.3% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Cottbus have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, Bochum 0.6 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.8% for over 2.5 and 72.8% for at least two goals. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 46.8% for three or more goals and 72.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Bochum favoured at 38.9%, a competitive game tends to open up.

38.9%Favoured: Bochum
52.3%Both Teams to Score
46.8%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 46.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBochum are the model’s pick on the result at 38.9%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Cottbus vs Bochum?
The model's most likely scoreline for Cottbus vs Bochum is 1-1 at 13.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.