2. Bundesliga
WolfsburgWolfsburgLWDWD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1012:00UK
OsnabruckOsnabruckLDDLW

Wolfsburg vs Osnabruck correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.1%
2-1 correct score9.3%
1-0 correct score8.7%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.1%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Wolfsburg goals, columns = Osnabruck goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.1%
  2. 2-19.3%
  3. 1-08.7%
  4. 2-07.5%
  5. 1-27.1%
  6. 0-16.6%
  7. 0-06.3%
  8. 2-25.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 6.6% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.7% 12.1% 7.1% 3% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Wolfsburg · Columns: Osnabruck

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.3%

0

15.3%

1

24.0%

2

22.3%

3

16.0%

4

15.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

WolfsburgWolfsburgLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 5-1
D
Draw · 4-4
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 1-1

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

OsnabruckOsnabruckLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-0

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 12.1% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Wolfsburg have averaged 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded, Osnabruck 1.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.4% for over 2.5 and 78.4% for at least two goals. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 54.4% for three or more goals and 78.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Wolfsburg favoured at 45.6%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

45.6%Favoured: Wolfsburg
57.5%Both Teams to Score
54.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 54.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWolfsburg are the model’s pick on the result at 45.6%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Wolfsburg vs Osnabruck?
The model's most likely scoreline for Wolfsburg vs Osnabruck is 1-1 at 12.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.