Süper Lig
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligiDLLLD
Full time0-1Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1014:00UK
GalatasarayGalatasarayWWWLW

Genclerbirligi 0-1 Galatasaray correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score10.2%
1-2 correct score9.9%
0-2 correct score9.4%

Result

Genclerbirligi0-1Galatasaray

Final score 0-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 8.7%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 10.2%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Genclerbirligi goals, columns = Galatasaray goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-110.2%
  2. 1-29.9%
  3. 0-29.4%
  4. 0-18.7%
  5. 1-36.8%
  6. 0-36.4%
  7. 2-25.3%
  8. 2-15.2%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5% 8.7% 9.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3%
1 4.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4%
2 2.5% 5.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Genclerbirligi · Columns: Galatasaray

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.0%

0

12.9%

1

22.1%

2

22.4%

3

17.4%

4

18.4%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GenclerbirligiGENLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-5
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-4
D
Draw · 2-2

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

GalatasarayGalatasarayLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-4
W
Win · 3-1

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0GenclerbirligiGEN wins
0Draws
5GalatasarayGalatasaray wins
3.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
GenclerbirligiGEN
1 – 2
GalatasarayGalatasaray
GalatasarayGalatasaray
3 – 2
GenclerbirligiGEN
GenclerbirligiGEN
0 – 2
GalatasarayGalatasaray
GalatasarayGalatasaray
6 – 0
GenclerbirligiGEN
GalatasarayGalatasaray
3 – 0
GenclerbirligiGEN

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 10.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Genclerbirligi have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded, Galatasaray 2.0 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 60.0% for over 2.5 and 82.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.8 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 60.0% for three or more goals and 82.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Galatasaray favoured at 59.5%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

59.5%Favoured: Galatasaray
57.5%Both Teams to Score
60.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 60.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGalatasaray are the model’s pick on the result at 59.5%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?
Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray finished 0-1. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 10.2%; it gave the actual 0-1 a 8.7% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.