Süper Lig
Gaziantep vs 
Corum Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 48.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 73.1% for over 7.5 to 19.2% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.5%. On the corner count, Gaziantep are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 57.1%, with a level count at 10.4%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 73.1% | 26.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| 9.5 corners | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 10.5 corners | 37.9% | 62.1% |
| 11.5 corners | 27.6% | 72.4% |
| 12.5 corners | 19.2% | 80.8% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
74.9%
60.1%
45.0%
58.5%
41.3%
26.8%
Corner handicap
| Gaziantep line | Gaziantep | Corum |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 26.4% | 73.6% |
| -1.5 | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| -0.5 | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| +0.5 | 67.4% | 32.6% |
This season (2026/27)
3.8Gaziantep corners won per game4.4Gaziantep corners conceded per game4.8Corum corners won per game5.4Corum corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Gaziantep.
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
49.5%Over 9.5 corners60.1%Gaziantep over 4.5 corners41.3%Corum over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, Gaziantep over 4.5 corners sits at 60.1% and Corum at 41.3%. This season Gaziantep have averaged 3.8 corners won a game and Corum 4.8.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Gaziantep vs Corum?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 49.5% for Gaziantep vs Corum.
Which team will win the corner count in Gaziantep vs Corum?
The model rates Gaziantep to win the corner count at 57.1%, with a level count at 10.4%.
How many corners do Gaziantep and Corum average this season?
Gaziantep have won 3.8 corners a game this season and Corum 4.8.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
