Gaziantep vs Corum prediction & probabilities (2026-10-11)

Süper Lig

Gaziantep vs Corum Correct Score

2026-10-11 · 14:00
Correct Score1-1Most likely · 11.7%
Best predictionMost likely · 11.7% · 1-1No single outcome dominates, read the distribution. Calibrated, not a tip.
ConvictionOpen

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 11.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Gaziantep have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, Corum 2.4 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.0% for over 2.5 and 77.4% for at least two goals. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Correct Score

Most likely1-1 11.7%
Scoreline Probability
1-1 11.7%
1-0 10.2%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.4%
0-0 6.7%
1-2 5.8%
0-1 5.8%
3-1 5.7%

Score probability grid

Gaziantep \ Corum 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7% 6% 3% 1% · ·
1 10% 12% 6% 2% 1% ·
2 9% 10% 5% 2% · ·
3 5% 6% 3% 1% · ·
4 2% 3% 1% · · ·
5 1% 1% · · · ·

Rows = Gaziantep goals, columns = Corum. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. The grid is the model’s full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.7%

0

16.0%

1

24.4%

2

22.2%

3

15.6%

4

14.2%

5+

In-depth analysis

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

53.5%Favoured: Gaziantep
54.1%Both Teams to Score
53.0%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 53.0% for three or more goals and 77.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Gaziantep favoured at 53.5%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 1-1 on Correct Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 53.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGaziantep are the model’s pick on the result at 53.5%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Form & head-to-head

GaziantepDWLWD
CorumDLLWW

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Gaziantep vs Corum?
The model's most likely scoreline for Gaziantep vs Corum is 1-1 at 11.7%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Overall model accuracy

We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0095Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
55,416Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

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Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.