Bundesliga
FreiburgFreiburgWWDWL
Full time1-3Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1016:30UK13°C · Cloudy
Bayern MunichBayern MunichDWWDW

Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes66.6%
Both teams to score: No33.4%

Result

Freiburg1-3Bayern Munich
2 goals before half-timeFreiburg 0, Bayern Munich 2
YesYes

We called Yes at 66.6% and it landed. We called Yes at 79.7% and it landed (2 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes66.6%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean66.6%
No33.4%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 69.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Freiburg scored
2.2
Freiburg conceded
1.0
Bayern Munich scored
3.4
Bayern Munich conceded
0.8

Each team to score

Freiburg to score74.3%
Freiburg 2+ goals39.3%
Bayern Munich to score89.1%
Bayern Munich 2+ goals65.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half29.3%
Both score in 2nd half40.6%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.2%

0

9.1%

1

18.2%

2

21.2%

3

19.0%

4

26.2%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

FreiburgBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5
Bayern MunichBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FreiburgFreiburgLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 5-0
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-2

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Bayern MunichBayern MunichLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 7-0
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 6-1

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0FreiburgFreiburg wins
1Draws
4Bayern MunichBayern Munich wins
4.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
FreiburgFreiburg
2 – 3
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
6 – 2
FreiburgFreiburg
FreiburgFreiburg
1 – 2
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
2 – 0
FreiburgFreiburg
FreiburgFreiburg
2 – 2
Bayern MunichBayern Munich

Match outlook

Freiburg21.4%
Draw18.9%
PickBayern Munich59.7%

The model leans Bayern Munich to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 66.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Freiburg have averaged 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Bayern Munich 3.4 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 69.4% for over 2.5 and 87.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.4 goals a game. Freiburg have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Bayern Munich in 3 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 69.4% for three or more goals and 87.6% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Bayern Munich favoured at 59.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

59.7%Favoured: Bayern Munich
66.6%Both Teams to Score
69.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 66.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 69.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBayern Munich are the model’s pick on the result at 59.7%, context for how the goals may flow.
FreiburgFreiburg

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Bayern MunichBayern Munich
Statistic
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
BTTS rate
66.7%
66.7%

clean sheets
33.3%
33.3%

goals scored per game
2.5
3.7

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–4. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

FreiburgFreiburg (1)
Igor Matanovic
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
25.2%
3.97
1+ shot on target
46.5%
2.15
2+ shots
47.0%
2.13
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.17
On target1.25
Goals0.58
Bayern MunichBayern Munich (1)
Harry Kane
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
61.5%
1.63
1+ shot on target
84.5%
1.18
2+ shots
89.3%
1.12
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.50
On target2.21
Goals1.13

FAQ

Did both teams score in Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 66.6%. Both teams scored, final score 1-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.