Bundesliga
FC KolnFC KolnLDLWL
Full time0-0Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1014:30UK12°C · Cloudy
Schalke 04Schalke 04DWDLL

FC Koln 0-0 Schalke 04 correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score9.8%
2-1 correct score9.7%
2-0 correct score7.8%

Result

FC Koln0-0Schalke 04

Final score 0-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 4.1%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.8%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = FC Koln goals, columns = Schalke 04 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-19.8%
  2. 2-19.7%
  3. 2-07.8%
  4. 1-07.1%
  5. 3-16.7%
  6. 2-26.0%
  7. 1-25.8%
  8. 3-05.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.1% 9.8% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.4% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: FC Koln · Columns: Schalke 04

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.1%

0

11.2%

1

20.5%

2

22.1%

3

18.2%

4

21.8%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FC KolnFC KolnLast 5
L
Loss · 1-4
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Schalke 04Schalke 04Last 5
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4FC KolnFC Koln wins
1Draws
0Schalke 04Schalke 04 wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Schalke 04Schalke 04
0 – 0
FC KolnFC Koln
FC KolnFC Koln
3 – 1
Schalke 04Schalke 04
FC KolnFC Koln
1 – 0
Schalke 04Schalke 04
Schalke 04Schalke 04
1 – 2
FC KolnFC Koln
FC KolnFC Koln
3 – 0
Schalke 04Schalke 04

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 9.8% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: FC Koln have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, Schalke 04 0.8 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 64.2% for over 2.5 and 84.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 64.2% for three or more goals and 84.7% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given FC Koln favoured at 56.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.7%Favoured: FC Koln
62.4%Both Teams to Score
64.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 64.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFC Koln are the model’s pick on the result at 56.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

FC KolnFC Koln (1)
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
16.9%
5.92
1+ shot on target
35.9%
2.79
2+ shots
26.4%
3.79
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.77
On target1.68
Goals0.70
Schalke 04Schalke 04 (1)
Junior Adamu
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
3.0%
33.33
1+ shot on target
30.1%
3.32
2+ shots
31.1%
3.22
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots1.86
On target0.59
Goals0.05

FAQ

What was the score in FC Koln vs Schalke 04?
FC Koln vs Schalke 04 finished 0-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 9.8%; it gave the actual 0-0 a 4.1% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.