Primeira Liga
Famalicao vs 
Alverca Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 53.7%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Famalicao have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Alverca 1.6 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 42.4% for over 2.5 and 69.2% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 1.0 goals a game. Famalicao have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Alverca in 5 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.8
1.2
1.6
1.8
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
62.5%Famalicao BTTS rate25.0%Famalicao clean sheets
1.3Famalicao goals scored per game71.4%Alverca BTTS rate14.3%Alverca clean sheets1.3Alverca goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
46.3%Both Teams to Score42.4%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 42.4% for three or more goals and 69.2% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Famalicao favoured at 50.2%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Famalicao to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Famalicao 1 · 0 draws · Alverca 1 · 1.0 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Famalicao vs Alverca?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 46.3% for Famalicao vs Alverca.
Will Famalicao score against Alverca?
The model rates Famalicao to score at 77.2% and Alverca to score at 59.1%.
How often have Famalicao seen both teams score recently?
Famalicao have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Alverca in 5 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
