Primeira Liga
FamalicaoFamalicaoLDDDW
Full time1-4Mon, 12 Oct 202612/1020:15UK
AlvercaAlvercaLDLWW

Famalicao 1-4 Alverca both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No53.6%
Both teams to score: Yes46.4%

Result

Famalicao1-4Alverca
No

We called No at 53.6% and it missed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No53.6%

Both Teams to Score

Yes46.4%
NoModel lean53.6%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 43.0%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Famalicao scored
1.4
Famalicao conceded
0.8
Alverca scored
1.4
Alverca conceded
1.4

Each team to score

Famalicao to score78.0%
Famalicao 2+ goals44.7%
Alverca to score58.7%
Alverca 2+ goals22.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half13.0%
Both score in 2nd half23.3%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.7%

0

20.6%

1

26.7%

2

20.9%

3

12.5%

4

9.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

FamalicaoBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
AlvercaBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FamalicaoFamalicaoLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 4-0

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

AlvercaAlvercaLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 1-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1FamalicaoFamalicao wins
0Draws
1AlvercaAlverca wins
1.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
FamalicaoFamalicao
1 – 0
AlvercaAlverca
AlvercaAlverca
1 – 0
FamalicaoFamalicao

Match outlook

PickFamalicao51.4%
Draw27.2%
Alverca21.4%

The model leans Famalicao to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,454Matches graded

In 26,240 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 6 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 50.2%✓ 56.4%✗ 57.9%✓ 53.5%✗ 54.4%✓ 52.3%✓ 55.2%✓ 53.9%
7 of 10 recent calls hit.
Cardiff vs West Ham2026-11-04Yes 50.7%Hit
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough2026-11-04Yes 58.3%Miss
Bristol City vs Wolves2026-11-04Yes 50.2%Hit
Kortrijk vs Mechelen2026-11-04Yes 56.4%Hit
Blackburn vs Stoke2026-11-03No 57.9%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 53.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Famalicao have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, Alverca 1.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.0% for over 2.5 and 69.7% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 1.0 goals a game. Famalicao have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Alverca in 4 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 43.0% for three or more goals and 69.7% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Famalicao favoured at 51.4%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

51.4%Favoured: Famalicao
46.4%Both Teams to Score
43.0%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 43.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFamalicao are the model’s pick on the result at 51.4%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
FamalicaoFamalicao

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AlvercaAlverca
Statistic
Famalicao
Alverca
BTTS rate
62.5%
71.4%

clean sheets
25.0%
14.3%

goals scored per game
1.3
1.3

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Famalicao vs Alverca?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 46.4%. Both teams scored, final score 1-4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

All both teams to score predictions

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.