Primeira Liga
EstrelaEstrelaDWDLL
Full time0-2Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1015:30UK
Casa PiaCasa PiaLDLWL

Estrela 0-2 Casa Pia both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No51.5%
Both teams to score: Yes48.5%

Result

Estrela0-2Casa Pia
1 goals before half-timeEstrela 0, Casa Pia 1
NoYes

We called No at 51.5% and it landed. We called Yes at 65.3% and it landed (1 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No51.5%

Both Teams to Score

Yes48.5%
NoModel lean51.5%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 42.6%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Estrela scored
1.4
Estrela conceded
1.8
Casa Pia scored
0.6
Casa Pia conceded
1.4

Each team to score

Estrela to score73.6%
Estrela 2+ goals38.5%
Casa Pia to score65.1%
Casa Pia 2+ goals28.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half16.7%
Both score in 2nd half26.1%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.9%

0

20.7%

1

26.8%

2

20.8%

3

12.4%

4

9.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

EstrelaBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
Casa PiaBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

EstrelaEstrelaLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Casa PiaCasa PiaLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3EstrelaEstrela wins
0Draws
2Casa PiaCasa Pia wins
3.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
EstrelaEstrela
4 – 0
Casa PiaCasa Pia
Casa PiaCasa Pia
3 – 5
EstrelaEstrela
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1 – 0
EstrelaEstrela
EstrelaEstrela
0 – 1
Casa PiaCasa Pia
EstrelaEstrela
3 – 1
Casa PiaCasa Pia

Match outlook

PickEstrela42.4%
Draw28.7%
Casa Pia28.8%

The model leans Estrela to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 26,174 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · No at 51.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Estrela have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, Casa Pia 0.6 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 42.6% for over 2.5 and 69.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.6 goals a game. Estrela have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Casa Pia in 2 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 42.6% for three or more goals and 69.5% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Estrela favoured at 42.4%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

42.4%Favoured: Estrela
48.5%Both Teams to Score
42.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.5% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 42.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutEstrela are the model’s pick on the result at 42.4%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
EstrelaEstrela

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Casa PiaCasa Pia
Statistic
Estrela
Casa Pia
BTTS rate
75.0%
25.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
12.5%

goals scored per game
1.8
0.4

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Estrela vs Casa Pia?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 48.5%. Both teams did not both score, final score 0-2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.