Primeira Liga
EstrelaEstrelaDLLLL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1120:30UK
BenficaBenficaWWLWW

Estrela vs Benfica both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No51.7%
Both teams to score: Yes48.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No51.7%

Both Teams to Score

Yes48.3%
NoModel lean51.7%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 60.5%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Estrela scored
0.8
Estrela conceded
2.0
Benfica scored
2.4
Benfica conceded
1.0

Each team to score

Estrela to score52.8%
Estrela 2+ goals17.5%
Benfica to score90.6%
Benfica 2+ goals68.6%

By half

Both score in 1st half18.3%
Both score in 2nd half33.7%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.8%

0

12.9%

1

21.8%

2

22.3%

3

17.5%

4

17.2%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

EstrelaBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
BenficaBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

EstrelaEstrelaLast 5
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-2

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

BenficaBenficaLast 5
W
Win · 4-0
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 2-1

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0EstrelaEstrela wins
0Draws
5BenficaBenfica wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BenficaBenfica
4 – 0
EstrelaEstrela
EstrelaEstrela
0 – 1
BenficaBenfica
EstrelaEstrela
2 – 3
BenficaBenfica
BenficaBenfica
1 – 0
EstrelaEstrela
EstrelaEstrela
1 – 4
BenficaBenfica

Match outlook

Estrela9.7%
Draw17.3%
PickBenfica73.0%

The model leans Benfica to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0219Calibration error
72,415Matches graded

In 26,224 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 54.7%✓ 59.8%✓ 60.9%✗ 61.4%✗ 53.7%✗ 53.8%✓ 55.2%✓ 55.0%✗ 51.7%✗ 52.1%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Yes 54.7%Miss
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Yes 59.8%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Yes 60.9%Hit
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01No 61.4%Miss
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Yes 53.7%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 51.7%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Estrela have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded, Benfica 2.4 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 60.5% for over 2.5 and 82.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Estrela have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Benfica in 3 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 60.5% for three or more goals and 82.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Benfica favoured at 73.0%, they may control possession and keep things tighter.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

73.0%Favoured: Benfica
48.3%Both Teams to Score
60.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.7% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 60.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBenfica are the model’s pick on the result at 73.0%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
EstrelaEstrela

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BenficaBenfica
Statistic
Estrela
Benfica
BTTS rate
70.0%
55.6%

clean sheets
0.0%
44.4%

goals scored per game
1.5
2.9

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Estrela vs Benfica?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 48.3% for Estrela vs Benfica.
Will Estrela score against Benfica?
The model rates Estrela to score at 52.8% and Benfica to score at 90.6%.
How often have Estrela seen both teams score recently?
Estrela have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Benfica in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.