Bundesliga
ElversbergElversbergWWLDL
Full time4-3Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1014:30UK12°C · Cloudy
AugsburgAugsburgWWDLD

Elversberg 4-3 Augsburg both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes65.5%
Both teams to score: No34.5%

Result

Elversberg4-3Augsburg
Yes

We called Yes at 65.5% and it landed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes65.5%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean65.5%
No34.5%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 63.8%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Elversberg scored
1.6
Elversberg conceded
1.6
Augsburg scored
2.6
Augsburg conceded
1.6

Each team to score

Elversberg to score79.8%
Elversberg 2+ goals47.6%
Augsburg to score81.4%
Augsburg 2+ goals50.1%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.1%
Both score in 2nd half37.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.3%

0

11.3%

1

20.7%

2

22.1%

3

18.1%

4

22.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

ElversbergBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
AugsburgBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 5/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

ElversbergElversbergLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 4-3
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

AugsburgAugsburgLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 4-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 2-2

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

Elversberg35.7%
Draw24.0%
PickAugsburg40.3%

The model leans Augsburg to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 65.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Elversberg have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded, Augsburg 2.6 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 63.8% for over 2.5 and 84.5% for at least two goals. Elversberg have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Augsburg in 4 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 63.8% for three or more goals and 84.5% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Augsburg favoured at 40.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

40.3%Favoured: Augsburg
65.5%Both Teams to Score
63.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 65.5% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 63.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAugsburg are the model’s pick on the result at 40.3%, a lean on probability, never on price.
ElversbergElversberg

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AugsburgAugsburg
Statistic
Elversberg
Augsburg
BTTS rate
60.0%
80.0%

clean sheets
20.0%
20.0%

goals scored per game
1.6
2.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

ElversbergElversberg (1)
Nicolas Kristof
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
0.0%
·
1+ shot on target
0.0%
·
2+ shots
0.0%
·
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots0.00
On target0.00
Goals0.00
AugsburgAugsburg (1)
Anton Kade
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
20.8%
4.81
1+ shot on target
57.9%
1.73
2+ shots
54.7%
1.83
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.67
On target1.26
Goals0.34

FAQ

Did both teams score in Elversberg vs Augsburg?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 65.5%. Both teams scored, final score 4-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.