AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Ligue 2
DunkerqueDunkerqueDWLLW
Full time1-1Fri, 23 Oct 202623/1019:00UK
MetzMetzWLDLW

Dunkerque 1-1 Metz corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined54.8%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined45.2%

Result

Dunkerque1-1Metz
6 cornersDunkerque 2, Metz 4
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 54.8% and it landed (6 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners45.2%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Dunkerque.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 69.5% 30.5%
8.5 corners 57.4% 42.6%
9.5 corners 45.2% 54.8%
10.5 corners 33.8% 66.2%
11.5 corners 24.1% 75.9%
12.5 corners 16.3% 83.7%

Who wins the corner count

Dunkerque
52.2%
Level
11.1%
Metz
36.7%

Team corners lines

Dunkerque

Over 3.5
70.1%
Over 4.5
54.1%
Over 5.5
38.7%

Metz

Over 3.5
59.7%
Over 4.5
42.4%
Over 5.5
27.6%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Dunkerque's; Metz gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Dunkerque line Dunkerque Metz
-1.5 40.9% 59.1%
-0.5 52.2% 47.8%
+0.5 63.3% 36.7%
+1.5 73.4% 26.6%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 45.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 69.5% for over 7.5 to 16.3% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.2%. On the corner count, Dunkerque are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.2%, with a level count at 11.1%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

45.2%Over 9.5 corners
52.2%Most corners: Dunkerque
54.1%Dunkerque over 4.5 corners
42.4%Metz over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Split by side, Dunkerque over 4.5 corners sits at 54.1% and Metz at 42.4%.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 45.2% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderDunkerque are the pick to win the corner count at 52.2%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 45.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many corners in Dunkerque vs Metz?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 45.2% for Dunkerque vs Metz.
Which team will win the corner count in Dunkerque vs Metz?
Before kickoff, the model rated Dunkerque to win the corner count at 52.2%, with a level count at 11.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Corners

Grenoble vs Dijon corners predictionLaval vs Boulogne corners predictionMetz vs Pau FC corners predictionNantes vs Clermont corners predictionRodez vs Dunkerque corners predictionAnnecy vs Montpellier corners prediction

Corner predictions today

Related

Ligue 2Dunkerque fixtures and statsMetz fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.