Ligue 2
DunkerqueDunkerqueDWLLW
Full time1-1Fri, 23 Oct 202623/1019:00UK
MetzMetzWLDLW

Dunkerque 1-1 Metz both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes54.4%
Both teams to score: No45.6%

Result

Dunkerque1-1Metz
1 goals before half-timeDunkerque 0, Metz 1
YesYes

We called Yes at 54.4% and it landed. We called Yes at 73.9% and it landed (1 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes54.4%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean54.4%
No45.6%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 53.0%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Dunkerque scored
1.2
Dunkerque conceded
1.4
Metz scored
2.2
Metz conceded
2.0

Each team to score

Dunkerque to score82.5%
Dunkerque 2+ goals51.9%
Metz to score65.3%
Metz 2+ goals28.5%

By half

Both score in 1st half23.7%
Both score in 2nd half36.7%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.7%

0

15.9%

1

24.4%

2

22.2%

3

15.6%

4

14.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

DunkerqueBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5
MetzBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

DunkerqueDunkerqueLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 3-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

MetzMetzLast 5
W
Win · 4-1
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 2-4
W
Win · 3-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0DunkerqueDunkerque wins
0Draws
2MetzMetz wins
3.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
DunkerqueDunkerque
2 – 3
MetzMetz
MetzMetz
2 – 0
DunkerqueDunkerque

Match outlook

PickDunkerque52.8%
Draw24.8%
Metz22.4%

The model leans Dunkerque to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,250Matches graded

In 34,669 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✓ 55.9%✗ 50.1%✗ 63.1%✗ 54.9%✓ 51.2%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Yes 50.4%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28No 55.9%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Yes 50.1%Miss
Brommapojkarna vs Hacken2026-10-28Yes 63.1%Miss
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK2026-10-28Yes 54.9%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 54.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Dunkerque have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded, Metz 2.2 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.0% for over 2.5 and 77.4% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 3.5 goals a game. Dunkerque have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Metz in 4 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 53.0% for three or more goals and 77.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Dunkerque favoured at 52.8%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

52.8%Favoured: Dunkerque
54.4%Both Teams to Score
53.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 54.4% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 53.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutDunkerque are the model’s pick on the result at 52.8%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
DunkerqueDunkerque

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

MetzMetz
Statistic
Dunkerque
Metz
BTTS rate
55.6%
77.8%

clean sheets
0.0%
11.1%

goals scored per game
1.4
1.7

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Dunkerque vs Metz?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 54.4%. Both teams scored, final score 1-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.