Ligue 2
DijonDijonDWWWL
Full time1-2Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1013:00UK
RodezRodezLLLLL

Dijon 1-2 Rodez correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.1%
1-2 correct score9.2%
0-1 correct score8.5%

Result

Dijon1-2Rodez

Final score 1-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 9.2%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.1%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Dijon goals, columns = Rodez goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.1%
  2. 1-29.2%
  3. 0-18.5%
  4. 0-27.3%
  5. 2-17.3%
  6. 1-06.6%
  7. 0-06.2%
  8. 2-25.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2% 8.5% 7.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.6% 12.1% 9.2% 5% 2% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.3% 5.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Dijon · Columns: Rodez

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.2%

0

15.1%

1

23.9%

2

22.3%

3

16.1%

4

15.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

DijonDijonLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 4-2
L
Loss · 2-4

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

RodezRodezLast 5
L
Loss · 1-4
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-3

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2DijonDijon wins
1Draws
1RodezRodez wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
DijonDijon
1 – 0
RodezRodez
RodezRodez
2 – 1
DijonDijon
RodezRodez
0 – 2
DijonDijon
DijonDijon
1 – 1
RodezRodez

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.1% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Dijon have averaged 2.4 scored and 2.0 conceded, Rodez 0.8 and 2.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.9% for over 2.5 and 78.7% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 54.9% for three or more goals and 78.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Rodez favoured at 44.8%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

44.8%Favoured: Rodez
58.0%Both Teams to Score
54.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 54.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutRodez are the model’s pick on the result at 44.8%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Dijon vs Rodez?
Dijon vs Rodez finished 1-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.1%; it gave the actual 1-2 a 9.2% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.