AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Serie A
ComoComoLDWWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1111:30UK15°C · Clearing
VeneziaVeneziaLLLWL

Como vs Venezia corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined58.4%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined41.6%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners41.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Como.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 63.9% 36.1%
8.5 corners 52.5% 47.5%
9.5 corners 41.6% 58.4%
10.5 corners 31.7% 68.4%
11.5 corners 23.3% 76.8%
12.5 corners 16.5% 83.5%

Who wins the corner count

Como
56.5%
Level
10.2%
Venezia
33.3%

Team corners lines

Como

Over 3.5
68.0%
Over 4.5
53.4%
Over 5.5
39.8%

Venezia

Over 3.5
51.5%
Over 4.5
35.8%
Over 5.5
23.4%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Como's; Venezia gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Como line Como Venezia
-3.5 26.7% 73.3%
-1.5 45.9% 54.1%
-0.5 56.5% 43.5%
+0.5 66.7% 33.3%
ComoComo

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Como at home and Venezia away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

VeneziaVenezia
Statistic
Como
Venezia
Corners won per game at this venue
7.7
5.5

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.3
4.3

First-half corners won per game
3.5
1.9

Second-half corners won per game
3.6
2.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
75.0%
50.0%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 41.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 63.9% for over 7.5 to 16.5% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.5%. On the corner count, Como are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.5%, with a level count at 10.2%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Como over 4.5 corners sits at 53.4% and Venezia at 35.8%. This season Como have averaged 7.1 corners won a game and Venezia 4.5.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

41.6%Over 9.5 corners
56.5%Most corners: Como
53.4%Como over 4.5 corners
35.8%Venezia over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 41.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderComo are the pick to win the corner count at 56.5%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 52.5%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
ComoComo

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

VeneziaVenezia
Statistic
Como
Venezia
corners won per game
7.1
4.5

corners conceded per game
4.5
4.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Como vs Venezia?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 41.6% for Como vs Venezia.
Which team will win the corner count in Como vs Venezia?
The model rates Como to win the corner count at 56.5%, with a level count at 10.2%.
How many corners do Como and Venezia average this season?
Como have won 7.1 corners a game this season and Venezia 4.5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Serie AComo fixtures and statsVenezia fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.