AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Pro League
Club BruggeClub BruggeWWWWW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1112:30UK
AnderlechtAnderlechtWWWLW

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined57%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined43.1%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 3.5 cards57.0%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Club Brugge vs Anderlecht. It tips Anderlecht for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 76.3% 23.7%
3.5 cards 57.0% 43.1%
4.5 cards 37.6% 62.4%
5.5 cards 22.0% 78.0%

Who picks up more cards

Club Brugge
23.1%
Level
18.7%
Anderlecht
58.3%

Team cards lines

Club Brugge

Over 1.5
45.3%
Over 2.5
20.1%

Anderlecht

Over 1.5
70.7%
Over 2.5
45.2%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Club Brugge's; Anderlecht gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Club Brugge line Club Brugge Anderlecht
-1.5 10.4% 89.6%
-0.5 23.1% 77.0%
+0.5 41.7% 58.3%
+1.5 62.0% 38.0%

Red card

Any red card17.8%
Club Brugge red card4.1%
Anderlecht red card14.3%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 61.4% 38.6%
22.5 fouls 46.7% 53.3%
24.5 fouls 32.9% 67.1%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Club Brugge Lothar D'hondt 2 3.5 1.0
Club Brugge N. Laforge 2 3.5 1.5
Anderlecht L. Visser 2 5.0 2.0

Swipe to see all referee stats →

Club BruggeClub Brugge

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Club Brugge at home and Anderlecht away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

AnderlechtAnderlecht
Statistic
Club Brugge
Anderlecht
Yellow cards per game
1.6
2.1

First-half yellow cards per game
0.4
0.6

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.1
1.5

Matches with card data
1
1

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,950Matches graded

In 11,340 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Cards actually happened 55.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.6%✗ 50.7%✗ 51.1%✓ 52.0%✓ 54.1%✓ 50.1%✓ 54.7%✗ 63.6%✗ 51.1%✗ 52.8%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.6%Hit
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.7%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Over 3.5 51.1%Miss
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 3.5 52.0%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 3.5 54.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 57.0%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Line by line, the read runs from 76.3% for over 2.5 to 22.0% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 57.0%. On the card count, Anderlecht are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 58.3%, with a level count at 18.7%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Club Brugge over 1.5 cards sits at 45.3% and Anderlecht at 70.7%. A red card for either side is rated at 17.8% (Club Brugge 4.1%, Anderlecht 14.3%). Club Brugge’s most frequent referee this season, Lothar D'hondt, has averaged 3.5 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

57.0%Over 3.5 cards
17.8%Any red card
58.3%Most cards: Anderlecht
45.3%Club Brugge over 1.5 cards
70.7%Anderlecht over 1.5 cards
46.7%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.0% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherLothar D'hondt, Club Brugge’s most frequent referee this season, averages 3.5 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 17.8%, a low-probability event, but one that reshapes every line when it lands.
The DisciplinarianAnderlecht are the pick to collect more cards at 58.3%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
Club BruggeClub Brugge

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AnderlechtAnderlecht
Statistic
Club Brugge
Anderlecht
fouls per game
7.9
13.0

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 57.0% for Club Brugge vs Anderlecht.
Will there be a red card in Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?
The model rates a red card for either side at 17.8%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?
The model rates Anderlecht to pick up more cards at 58.3%, with a level count at 18.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Pro LeagueClub Brugge fixtures and statsAnderlecht fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.