AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Championship
CharltonCharltonLDDLL
Tue, 3 Nov 20263/1119:45UK
BoltonBoltonWLWDL

Charlton vs Bolton corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined57.2%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined42.8%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners57.2%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Charlton.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 79.0% 21.0%
8.5 corners 68.7% 31.3%
9.5 corners 57.2% 42.8%
10.5 corners 45.5% 54.5%
11.5 corners 34.5% 65.5%
12.5 corners 25.0% 75.0%

Who wins the corner count

Charlton
55.0%
Level
10.4%
Bolton
34.6%

Team corners lines

Charlton

Over 3.5
77.8%
Over 4.5
63.6%
Over 5.5
48.5%

Bolton

Over 3.5
65.4%
Over 4.5
48.5%
Over 5.5
33.1%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Charlton's; Bolton gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Charlton line Charlton Bolton
-1.5 44.4% 55.6%
-0.5 55.0% 45.0%
+0.5 65.4% 34.6%
+1.5 74.7% 25.3%
CharltonCharlton

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Charlton at home and Bolton away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

BoltonBolton
Statistic
Charlton
Bolton
Corners won per game at this venue
5.3
4.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
6.2
5.8

First-half corners won per game
2.6
1.9

Second-half corners won per game
1.8
3.2

Matches with more corners than the opponent
25.0%
33.3%

Matches with corner data
12
12

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 57.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 79.0% for over 7.5 to 25.0% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.5%. Head to head on corners, Charlton are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 10.4%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Charlton over 4.5 corners sits at 63.6% and Bolton at 48.5%. This season Charlton have averaged 4.4 corners won a game and Bolton 5.1.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

57.2%Over 9.5 corners
55.0%Most corners: Charlton
63.6%Charlton over 4.5 corners
48.5%Bolton over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.2% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderCharlton are the pick to win the corner count at 55.0%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.5%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
CharltonCharlton

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BoltonBolton
Statistic
Charlton
Bolton
corners won per game
4.4
5.1

corners conceded per game
6.2
5.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Charlton vs Bolton?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 57.2% for Charlton vs Bolton.
Which team will win the corner count in Charlton vs Bolton?
The model rates Charlton to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 10.4%.
How many corners do Charlton and Bolton average this season?
Charlton have won 4.4 corners a game this season and Bolton 5.1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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ChampionshipCharlton fixtures and statsBolton fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.