La Liga
CeltaCeltaDDWDW
Full time0-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1015:15UK19°C · Cloudy
BetisBetisWWDWL

Celta Vigo 0-0 Real Betis correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.6%
1-0 correct score9.2%
2-1 correct score9%

Result

Celta0-0Betis

Final score 0-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 7.1%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.6%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Celta goals, columns = Betis goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.6%
  2. 1-09.2%
  3. 2-19.0%
  4. 0-17.4%
  5. 2-07.4%
  6. 1-27.3%
  7. 0-07.1%
  8. 2-25.5%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1% 7.4% 4.9% 2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.2% 12.6% 7.3% 3% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Celta · Columns: Betis

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.1%

0

16.6%

1

24.9%

2

22.1%

3

15.1%

4

13.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

CeltaCeltaLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 5-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses

BetisBetisLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 5-2
L
Loss · 2-5

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1CeltaCelta wins
3Draws
1BetisBetis wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BetisBetis
1 – 1
CeltaCelta
CeltaCelta
1 – 1
BetisBetis
CeltaCelta
3 – 2
BetisBetis
BetisBetis
2 – 2
CeltaCelta
BetisBetis
2 – 1
CeltaCelta

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 12.6% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Celta have averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded, Betis 2.2 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 51.3% for over 2.5 and 76.2% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 51.3% for three or more goals and 76.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Celta favoured at 43.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

43.7%Favoured: Celta
55.5%Both Teams to Score
51.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 51.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutCelta are the model’s pick on the result at 43.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

CeltaCelta (1)
Ferrán Jutglà
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
24.6%
4.07
1+ shot on target
53.7%
1.86
2+ shots
41.3%
2.42
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.20
On target1.20
Goals0.44
BetisBetis (1)
Pablo García
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
7.1%
14.08
1+ shot on target
31.0%
3.23
2+ shots
29.2%
3.42
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.80
On target1.31
Goals0.26

FAQ

What was the score in Celta vs Betis?
Celta vs Betis finished 0-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.6%; it gave the actual 0-0 a 7.1% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.