Segunda División
BurgosBurgosWLLWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1117:30UK
CastellonCastellonWDLWW

Burgos vs Castellon both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No53.5%
Both teams to score: Yes46.5%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No53.5%

Both Teams to Score

Yes46.5%
NoModel lean53.5%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 39.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Burgos scored
1.2
Burgos conceded
1.0
Castellon scored
2.0
Castellon conceded
0.4

Each team to score

Burgos to score66.9%
Burgos 2+ goals30.3%
Castellon to score68.5%
Castellon 2+ goals32.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half20.0%
Both score in 2nd half15.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

11.1%

0

22.2%

1

27.3%

2

20.1%

3

11.4%

4

7.7%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

BurgosBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
CastellonBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BurgosBurgosLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 3-2

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

CastellonCastellonLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 4-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0BurgosBurgos wins
1Draws
3CastellonCastellon wins
2.3Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
CastellonCastellon
3 – 1
BurgosBurgos
BurgosBurgos
0 – 0
CastellonCastellon
CastellonCastellon
2 – 1
BurgosBurgos
BurgosBurgos
0 – 2
CastellonCastellon

Match outlook

Burgos33.8%
Draw30.0%
PickCastellon36.3%

The model leans Castellon to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 26,175 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 53.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Burgos have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Castellon 2.0 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 39.4% for over 2.5 and 66.7% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 2.3 goals a game. Burgos have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Castellon in 1 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 39.4% for three or more goals and 66.7% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Castellon favoured at 36.3%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

36.3%Favoured: Castellon
46.5%Both Teams to Score
39.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.5% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 39.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutCastellon are the model’s pick on the result at 36.3%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
BurgosBurgos

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CastellonCastellon
Statistic
Burgos
Castellon
BTTS rate
54.5%
27.3%

clean sheets
27.3%
63.6%

goals scored per game
1.5
2.0

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Burgos vs Castellon?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 46.5% for Burgos vs Castellon.
Will Burgos score against Castellon?
The model rates Burgos to score at 66.9% and Castellon to score at 68.5%.
How often have Burgos seen both teams score recently?
Burgos have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Castellon in 1 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Segunda División, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.