Bundesliga
AugsburgAugsburgWDLDL
Full time1-1Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1014:30UK
Union BerlinUnion BerlinLLLWD

Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes62.6%
Both teams to score: No37.4%

Result

Augsburg1-1Union Berlin
0 goals before half-timeAugsburg 0, Union Berlin 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 62.6% and it landed. We called Yes at 74.5% and it missed (0 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes62.6%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean62.6%
No37.4%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 63.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Augsburg scored
2.6
Augsburg conceded
2.4
Union Berlin scored
0.4
Union Berlin conceded
2.8

Each team to score

Augsburg to score86.4%
Augsburg 2+ goals59.3%
Union Berlin to score71.9%
Union Berlin 2+ goals36.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.3%
Both score in 2nd half35.3%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.3%

0

11.5%

1

20.8%

2

22.2%

3

18.1%

4

21.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

AugsburgBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 5/5
Union BerlinBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

AugsburgAugsburgLast 5
W
Win · 4-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 3-4

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Union BerlinUnion BerlinLast 5
L
Loss · 0-4
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-7
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 0-0

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2AugsburgAugsburg wins
1Draws
2Union BerlinUnion Berlin wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
4 – 0
AugsburgAugsburg
AugsburgAugsburg
1 – 1
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
AugsburgAugsburg
1 – 2
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
0 – 2
AugsburgAugsburg
AugsburgAugsburg
2 – 0
Union BerlinUnion Berlin

Match outlook

PickAugsburg55.3%
Draw21.1%
Union Berlin23.6%

The model leans Augsburg to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 62.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Augsburg have averaged 2.6 scored and 2.4 conceded, Union Berlin 0.4 and 2.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 63.4% for over 2.5 and 84.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Augsburg have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, Union Berlin in 1 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 63.4% for three or more goals and 84.3% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. With Augsburg favoured at 55.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

55.3%Favoured: Augsburg
62.6%Both Teams to Score
63.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 62.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 63.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAugsburg are the model’s pick on the result at 55.3%, context for how the goals may flow.
AugsburgAugsburg

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Union BerlinUnion Berlin
Statistic
Augsburg
Union Berlin
BTTS rate
83.3%
33.3%

clean sheets
16.7%
33.3%

goals scored per game
2.7
0.8

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

AugsburgAugsburg (1)
Michael Gregoritsch
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
25.4%
3.94
1+ shot on target
47.0%
2.13
2+ shots
40.4%
2.48
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.80
On target1.28
Goals0.59
Union BerlinUnion Berlin (1)
Tim Skarke
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
5.3%
18.87
1+ shot on target
30.8%
3.25
2+ shots
17.0%
5.88
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.05
On target1.02
Goals0.15

FAQ

Did both teams score in Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 62.6%. Both teams scored, final score 1-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.