La Liga
Ath BilbaoAth BilbaoWDDDL
Full time4-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1013:00UK21°C · Cloudy
GetafeGetafeDLWLD

Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Getafe both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No61.2%
Both teams to score: Yes38.8%

Result

Ath Bilbao4-0Getafe
2 goals before half-timeAth Bilbao 2, Getafe 0
NoYes

We called No at 61.2% and it landed. We called Yes at 51.4% and it landed (2 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · No61.2%

Both Teams to Score

Yes38.8%
NoModel lean61.2%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 34.0%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Ath Bilbao scored
1.0
Ath Bilbao conceded
0.8
Getafe scored
0.6
Getafe conceded
1.2

Each team to score

Ath Bilbao to score72.8%
Ath Bilbao 2+ goals37.8%
Getafe to score52.5%
Getafe 2+ goals17.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half8.7%
Both score in 2nd half17.4%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

13.6%

0

25.0%

1

27.4%

2

18.4%

3

9.6%

4

5.7%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Ath BilbaoBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
GetafeBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 1/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Ath BilbaoAth BilbaoLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-3

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

GetafeGetafeLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao wins
1Draws
2GetafeGetafe wins
1.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
GetafeGetafe
2 – 0
Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao
Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao
0 – 1
GetafeGetafe
GetafeGetafe
0 – 2
Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao
Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao
1 – 1
GetafeGetafe
GetafeGetafe
0 – 2
Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao

Match outlook

PickAth Bilbao52.1%
Draw28.8%
Getafe19.1%

The model leans Ath Bilbao to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 3,302 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 44.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · No at 61.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Ath Bilbao have averaged 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, Getafe 0.6 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 34.0% for over 2.5 and 61.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Ath Bilbao have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Getafe in 2 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 34.0% for three or more goals and 61.4% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Ath Bilbao favoured at 52.1%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

52.1%Favoured: Ath Bilbao
38.8%Both Teams to Score
34.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 61.2% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 34.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAth Bilbao are the model’s pick on the result at 52.1%, a lean on probability, never on price.
Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GetafeGetafe
Statistic
Ath Bilbao
Getafe
BTTS rate
37.5%
33.3%

clean sheets
50.0%
22.2%

goals scored per game
1.0
0.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao (1)
Gorka Guruzeta
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
20.2%
4.95
1+ shot on target
49.6%
2.02
2+ shots
59.0%
1.69
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.07
On target1.06
Goals0.35
GetafeGetafe (1)
Enes Ünal
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
9.1%
10.99
1+ shot on target
23.0%
4.35
2+ shots
25.5%
3.92
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.59
On target0.96
Goals0.35

FAQ

Did both teams score in Ath Bilbao vs Getafe?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 38.8%. Both teams did not both score, final score 4-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More La Liga, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.