La Liga
VallecanoVallecanoLWDDL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:15UK20°C · Clear
CeltaCeltaDWDWD

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes50.4%
Both teams to score: No49.6%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes50.4%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean50.4%
No49.6%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 44.9%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Vallecano scored
1.0
Vallecano conceded
2.0
Celta scored
1.6
Celta conceded
0.4

Each team to score

Vallecano to score73.7%
Vallecano 2+ goals38.8%
Celta to score67.7%
Celta 2+ goals31.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half17.2%
Both score in 2nd half21.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.1%

0

19.6%

1

26.4%

2

21.2%

3

13.1%

4

10.2%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

VallecanoBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5
CeltaBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

VallecanoVallecanoLast 5
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

CeltaCeltaLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 5-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 0-0

2 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2VallecanoVallecano wins
2Draws
1CeltaCelta wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
CeltaCelta
3 – 0
VallecanoVallecano
VallecanoVallecano
1 – 1
CeltaCelta
CeltaCelta
1 – 2
VallecanoVallecano
VallecanoVallecano
2 – 1
CeltaCelta
CeltaCelta
0 – 0
VallecanoVallecano

Match outlook

PickVallecano41.6%
Draw28.3%
Celta30.1%

The model leans Vallecano to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 34,665 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 50.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Vallecano have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded, Celta 1.6 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 44.9% for over 2.5 and 71.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Vallecano have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Celta in 2 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 44.9% for three or more goals and 71.3% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Vallecano favoured at 41.6%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

41.6%Favoured: Vallecano
50.4%Both Teams to Score
44.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.4% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 44.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutVallecano are the model’s pick on the result at 41.6%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
VallecanoVallecano

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CeltaCelta
Statistic
Vallecano
Celta
BTTS rate
88.9%
40.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
50.0%

goals scored per game
1.3
1.0

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

VallecanoVallecano (1)
Sergio Camello
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
26.1%
3.83
1+ shot on target
50.2%
1.99
2+ shots
45.4%
2.20
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.04
On target1.38
Goals0.60
CeltaCelta (1)
Borja Iglesias
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
28.1%
3.56
1+ shot on target
50.6%
1.98
2+ shots
35.5%
2.82
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.16
On target1.22
Goals0.57

FAQ

Will both teams score in Vallecano vs Celta?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 50.4% for Vallecano vs Celta.
Will Vallecano score against Celta?
The model rates Vallecano to score at 73.7% and Celta to score at 67.7%.
How often have Vallecano seen both teams score recently?
Vallecano have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Celta in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More La Liga, Both Teams to Score

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.