La Liga
Ath Bilbao vs 
Alaves Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 52.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Ath Bilbao have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, Alaves 2.2 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 47.7% for over 2.5 and 73.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. Ath Bilbao have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Alaves in 3 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.4
1.2
2.2
1.0
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
40.0%Ath Bilbao BTTS rate40.0%Ath Bilbao clean sheets
1.4Ath Bilbao goals scored per game50.0%Alaves BTTS rate33.3%Alaves clean sheets1.8Alaves goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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1
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5+
In-depth analysis
52.3%Both Teams to Score47.7%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 47.7% for three or more goals and 73.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Ath Bilbao favoured at 45.6%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Ath Bilbao to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Ath Bilbao 3 · 1 draws · Alaves 1 · 2.4 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Ath Bilbao vs Alaves?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 52.3% for Ath Bilbao vs Alaves.
Will Ath Bilbao score against Alaves?
The model rates Ath Bilbao to score at 77.1% and Alaves to score at 67.0%.
How often have Ath Bilbao seen both teams score recently?
Ath Bilbao have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Alaves in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 26,670 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 17 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More La Liga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
