La Liga
Getafe vs 
Malaga Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 59.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Getafe have averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded, Malaga 0.6 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 34.9% for over 2.5 and 62.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Getafe have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Malaga in 3 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.6
0.8
0.6
1.8
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
33.3%Getafe BTTS rate16.7%Getafe clean sheets
0.5Getafe goals scored per game50.0%Malaga BTTS rate16.7%Malaga clean sheets0.5Malaga goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
40.9%Both Teams to Score34.9%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 34.9% for three or more goals and 62.5% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Getafe favoured at 48.0%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Getafe to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Getafe 3 · 0 draws · Malaga 2 · 2.2 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Malaga?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 40.9% for Getafe vs Malaga.
Will Getafe score against Malaga?
The model rates Getafe to score at 72.2% and Malaga to score at 55.7%.
How often have Getafe seen both teams score recently?
Getafe have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Malaga in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More La Liga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
