Ekstraklasa
WislaWislaWLDWL
Fri, 6 Nov 20266/1119:30UK
CracoviaCracoviaLWDLL

Wisla vs Cracovia over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined51.8%
Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined48.2%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Under 2.5 goals51.8%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.548.2%
Model leanUnder 2.551.8%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 92.0% 8.1%
1.5 goals 73.9% 26.1%
2.5 goals 48.2% 51.8%
3.5 goals 26.4% 73.6%
4.5 goals 12.3% 87.7%
5.5 goals 4.9% 95.1%

Team goal lines

Wisla over 0.5
73.3%
Wisla over 1.5
38.1%
Wisla over 2.5
14.8%
Cracovia over 0.5
72.2%
Cracovia over 1.5
36.6%
Cracovia over 2.5
13.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.1%

0

18.1%

1

25.7%

2

21.8%

3

14.1%

4

11.8%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

WislaBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
CracoviaBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

WislaWislaLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

CracoviaCracoviaLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2WislaWisla wins
3Draws
0CracoviaCracovia wins
1.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
CracoviaCracovia
0 – 0
WislaWisla
WislaWisla
1 – 0
CracoviaCracovia
WislaWisla
0 – 0
CracoviaCracovia
CracoviaCracovia
1 – 1
WislaWisla
CracoviaCracovia
0 – 2
WislaWisla

Match outlook

PickWisla37.2%
Draw27.6%
Cracovia35.2%

The model leans Wisla to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.019Calibration error
72,374Matches graded

In 27,209 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 47.1% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 68.6%✗ 50.6%✗ 59.7%✓ 55.9%✓ 57.7%✗ 53.0%✓ 54.4%✗ 61.2%✓ 53.0%✗ 54.9%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 68.6%Miss
Como vs Venezia2026-11-01Over 50.6%Miss
Zwolle vs Den Haag2026-11-01Over 59.7%Miss
Excelsior vs Twente2026-11-01Over 55.9%Hit
Telstar vs Utrecht2026-11-01Over 57.7%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Under 2.5 goals at 51.8%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Wisla have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, Cracovia 1.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.2% for over 2.5 and 73.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.0 goals a game. Wisla have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Cracovia in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 48.2% for three or more goals and 73.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Wisla favoured at 37.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

37.2%Favoured: Wisla
53.5%Both Teams to Score
48.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.8% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 48.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWisla are the model’s pick on the result at 37.2%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
WislaWisla

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CracoviaCracovia
Statistic
Wisla
Cracovia
goals scored per game
1.5
1.2

goals conceded per game
1.4
1.6

Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
61.5%

1st-half goals per game
0.6
0.2

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wisla vs Cracovia?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 48.2% for Wisla vs Cracovia.
How often have Wisla gone over 2.5 recently?
Wisla have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Cracovia in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 goals predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.