AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Eredivisie
Willem IIWillem IIDLLLL
Full time1-6Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1017:45UK
CambuurCambuurDWDWD

Willem II 1-6 Cambuur corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.6%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.4%

Result

Willem II1-6Cambuur
17 cornersWillem II 13, Cambuur 4
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 56.6% and it landed (17 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Willem II.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.3% 21.7%
8.5 corners 68.0% 32.0%
9.5 corners 56.6% 43.4%
10.5 corners 45.1% 54.9%
11.5 corners 34.3% 65.7%
12.5 corners 25.0% 75.0%

Who wins the corner count

Willem II
54.6%
Level
9.7%
Cambuur
35.8%

Team corners lines

Willem II

Over 3.5
76.1%
Over 4.5
62.2%
Over 5.5
47.8%

Cambuur

Over 3.5
64.1%
Over 4.5
47.9%
Over 5.5
33.3%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Willem II's; Cambuur gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Willem II line Willem II Cambuur
-1.5 44.6% 55.4%
-0.5 54.6% 45.5%
+0.5 64.3% 35.8%
+1.5 73.1% 26.9%
Willem IIWillem II

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Willem II at home and Cambuur away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

CambuurCambuur
Statistic
Willem II
Cambuur
Corners won per game at this venue
5.7
·

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.0
·

Matches with more corners than the opponent
33.3%
·

Matches with corner data
6
5

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 56.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.3% for over 7.5 to 25.0% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.1%. On the corner count, Willem II are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.6%, with a level count at 9.7%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.6%Over 9.5 corners
54.6%Most corners: Willem II
62.2%Willem II over 4.5 corners
47.9%Cambuur over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

By team, Willem II over 4.5 corners sits at 62.2% and Cambuur at 47.9%.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderWillem II are the pick to win the corner count at 54.6%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Willem IIWillem II

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CambuurCambuur
Statistic
Willem II
Cambuur
corners won per game
3.8
·

corners conceded per game
7.7
·

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Willem II vs Cambuur?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 56.6% for Willem II vs Cambuur.
Which team will win the corner count in Willem II vs Cambuur?
Before kickoff, the model rated Willem II to win the corner count at 54.6%, with a level count at 9.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

EredivisieWillem II fixtures and statsCambuur fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.