Volos NFC vs AEK prediction & probabilities (2026-09-20)

Super League Greece

Volos NFC vs AEK Both Teams to Score

2026-09-20 · 16:00
Both Teams to Score53.2%Both teams to score · No
Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 53.2%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
53%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 53.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Volos NFC have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded, AEK 2.4 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 49.2% for over 2.5 and 74.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Volos NFC have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, AEK in 3 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

Yes46.8%

★ ModelNo53.2%

Over 2.5 · context49.2%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Volos NFC scored

0.8

Volos NFC conceded

2.0

AEK scored

2.4

AEK conceded

0.6

Each team to score

Volos NFC to score55.2%

Volos NFC 2+ goals19.3%

AEK to score84.0%

AEK 2+ goals54.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half14.6%

Both score in 2nd half24.6%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

7.7%

0

17.8%

1

25.4%

2

21.9%

3

14.5%

4

11.7%

5+

In-depth analysis

These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

61.3%Favoured: AEK
46.8%Both Teams to Score
49.2%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 49.2% for three or more goals and 74.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With AEK favoured at 61.3%, they may control possession and keep things tighter.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 53.2% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 49.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAEK are the model’s pick on the result at 61.3%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Volos NFC15.5%

Draw23.2%

AEK61.3%

The model leans AEK to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

Volos NFCLLDDL
AEKDWDWD

Last 5 meetings: Volos NFC 0 · 1 draws · AEK 4 · 3.2 goals/game.

Recent trends

Volos NFCBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 2/5
AEKBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Volos NFC vs AEK?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 46.8% for Volos NFC vs AEK.

Will Volos NFC score against AEK?
The model rates Volos NFC to score at 55.2% and AEK to score at 84.0%.

How often have Volos NFC seen both teams score recently?
Volos NFC have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, AEK in 3 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0232Calibration error
55,473Matches graded

In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 58.1%✓ 57.7%✗ 52.4%✗ 50.5%✗ 50.8%✗ 51.4%✗ 50.4%✓ 57.1%✓ 53.6%✗ 50.2%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17No 58.1%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Yes 57.7%Hit
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Yes 52.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Yes 50.5%Miss
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16No 50.8%Miss

More Super League Greece, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.