OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis prediction & probabilities (2026-09-20)

Super League Greece

OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis Both Teams to Score

2026-09-20 · 17:00
Both Teams to Score51.5%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 51.5%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
52%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 51.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: OFI Crete have averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded, Asteras Tripolis 0.8 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.2% for over 2.5 and 73.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. OFI Crete have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Asteras Tripolis in 3 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes51.5%

No48.5%

Over 2.5 · context48.2%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

OFI Crete scored

1.8

OFI Crete conceded

0.6

Asteras Tripolis scored

0.8

Asteras Tripolis conceded

1.6

Each team to score

OFI Crete to score79.0%

OFI Crete 2+ goals46.2%

Asteras Tripolis to score64.5%

Asteras Tripolis 2+ goals27.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half22.4%

Both score in 2nd half19.3%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.0%

0

18.1%

1

25.7%

2

21.8%

3

14.2%

4

11.7%

5+

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

48.9%Favoured: OFI Crete
51.5%Both Teams to Score
48.2%Over 2.5 goals

Looking at totals, the model sees 48.2% for three or more goals and 73.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With OFI Crete favoured at 48.9%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 51.5% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 48.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutOFI Crete are the model’s pick on the result at 48.9%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

OFI Crete48.9%

Draw26.4%

Asteras Tripolis24.7%

The model leans OFI Crete to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

OFI CreteWWLWW
Asteras TripolisWLLLD

Last 5 meetings: OFI Crete 2 · 0 draws · Asteras Tripolis 3 · 3.0 goals/game.

Recent trends

OFI CreteBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
Asteras TripolisBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 51.5% for OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis.

Will OFI Crete score against Asteras Tripolis?
The model rates OFI Crete to score at 79.0% and Asteras Tripolis to score at 64.5%.

How often have OFI Crete seen both teams score recently?
OFI Crete have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Asteras Tripolis in 3 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0232Calibration error
55,473Matches graded

In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 58.1%✓ 57.7%✗ 52.4%✗ 50.5%✗ 50.8%✗ 51.4%✗ 50.4%✓ 57.1%✓ 53.6%✗ 50.2%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17No 58.1%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Yes 57.7%Hit
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Yes 52.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Yes 50.5%Miss
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16No 50.8%Miss

More Super League Greece, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

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Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.