Super League Greece
Aris vs 
Iraklis Both Teams to Score
Result
We called No at 51.4% and it landed.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 51.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Aris have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, Iraklis 1.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.6% for over 2.5 and 74.2% for at least two goals. Aris have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Iraklis in 3 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.6
2.0
1.2
1.6
Each team to score
By half
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
48.6%Both Teams to Score48.6%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 48.6% for three or more goals and 74.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Aris favoured at 57.5%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Aris to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Did both teams score in Aris vs Iraklis?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 48.6%. Both teams did not both score, final score 0-0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Super League Greece, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
