Serie A
VeneziaVeneziaLWLLL
Fri, 6 Nov 20266/1119:45UK9°C · Cloudy
UdineseUdineseLLLDL

Venezia vs Udinese xG stats

Recent xG created per game, from recorded matches.

Venezia1.42

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Udinese1.16

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia have created 1.42 xG and scored 0.33 per game over their last 6, scoring below their xG. Udinese have created 1.16 xG and scored 0.50 per game over their last 6, scoring below their xG.

Real Understat xG, recent games only (the five leagues we cover for xG). xG measures chance quality, not a tip.

VeneziaVenezia

Recent xG per game

Recorded recent matches.

UdineseUdinese
Statistic
Venezia
Udinese
Matches in sample
6
6
xG created per game
1.42
1.16

xG conceded per game
1.99
2.48

Bar scales · xG per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

VeneziaVeneziaLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

UdineseUdineseLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 2-5

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1VeneziaVenezia wins
0Draws
3UdineseUdinese wins
4.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
UdineseUdinese
3 – 2
VeneziaVenezia
VeneziaVenezia
3 – 2
UdineseUdinese
VeneziaVenezia
1 – 2
UdineseUdinese
UdineseUdinese
3 – 0
VeneziaVenezia

Match outlook

Venezia35.2%
Draw27.1%
PickUdinese37.7%

The model leans Udinese to win.

See the full prediction

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Expected Goals (xG)-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

In-depth analysis

37.7%Favoured: Udinese
54.9%Both Teams to Score
50.0%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

VeneziaVenezia (1)
Akor Adams
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
21.1%
4.74
1+ shot on target
57.7%
1.73
2+ shots
58.4%
1.71
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.74
On target1.20
Goals0.33
UdineseUdinese (1)
Idrissa Gueye
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
7.5%
13.33
1+ shot on target
31.9%
3.13
2+ shots
34.8%
2.87
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.29
On target1.34
Goals0.27

FAQ

How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Expected Goals (xG)

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.