Liga I
Univ. CraiovaUniv. CraiovaWWWWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1115:30UK
FC BotosaniFC BotosaniDLWLL

Univ. Craiova vs FC Botosani over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined54.2%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined45.8%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 2.5 goals54.2%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 93.8% 6.2%
1.5 goals 78.1% 21.9%
2.5 goals 54.2% 45.8%
3.5 goals 31.9% 68.1%
4.5 goals 16.0% 84.0%
5.5 goals 7.0% 93.1%

Team goal lines

Univ. Craiova over 0.5
88.7%
Univ. Craiova over 1.5
64.1%
Univ. Craiova over 2.5
37.2%
FC Botosani over 0.5
48.7%
FC Botosani over 1.5
14.5%
FC Botosani over 2.5
3.0%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.2%

0

15.6%

1

23.9%

2

22.3%

3

15.9%

4

13.6%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Univ. CraiovaBTTS 0/5Over 2.5 2/5
FC BotosaniBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Univ. CraiovaUniv. CraiovaLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 5-0
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 5-0

5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses

FC BotosaniFC BotosaniLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-3

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Univ. CraiovaUniv. Craiova wins
4Draws
0FC BotosaniFC Botosani wins
2.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Univ. CraiovaUniv. Craiova
2 – 0
FC BotosaniFC Botosani
FC BotosaniFC Botosani
1 – 1
Univ. CraiovaUniv. Craiova
FC BotosaniFC Botosani
2 – 2
Univ. CraiovaUniv. Craiova
Univ. CraiovaUniv. Craiova
0 – 0
FC BotosaniFC Botosani
FC BotosaniFC Botosani
2 – 2
Univ. CraiovaUniv. Craiova

Match outlook

PickUniv. Craiova71.8%
Draw18.7%
FC Botosani9.6%

The model leans Univ. Craiova to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 24,254 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 56.5%✗ 62.3%✗ 52.0%✗ 55.7%✓ 58.7%✓ 65.3%✗ 55.1%✓ 56.0%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 56.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 62.3%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 52.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 55.7%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 58.7%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 2.5 goals at 54.2%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. The goals picture is built on form: Univ. Craiova have averaged 2.8 scored and 0.0 conceded, FC Botosani 1.0 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.2% for over 2.5 and 78.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. Univ. Craiova have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, FC Botosani in 2 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 54.2% for three or more goals and 78.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Univ. Craiova favoured at 71.8%, they may control possession and keep things tighter.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

71.8%Favoured: Univ. Craiova
43.7%Both Teams to Score
54.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 54.2% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 54.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutUniv. Craiova are the model’s pick on the result at 71.8%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Univ. CraiovaUniv. Craiova

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

FC BotosaniFC Botosani
Statistic
Univ. Craiova
FC Botosani
goals scored per game
2.5
1.3

goals conceded per game
0.7
1.3

Over 2.5 rate
53.8%
46.2%

1st-half goals per game
0.6
0.7

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Univ. Craiova vs FC Botosani?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 54.2% for Univ. Craiova vs FC Botosani.
How often have Univ. Craiova gone over 2.5 recently?
Univ. Craiova have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, FC Botosani in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Liga I, Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 goals predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.