Liga I
PetrolulPetrolulDWLDW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1017:00UK
CFR ClujCFR ClujWLWLD

Petrolul vs CFR Cluj over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined56.1%
Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined43.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Under 2.5 goals56.1%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.543.9%
Model leanUnder 2.556.1%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 90.6% 9.4%
1.5 goals 70.5% 29.5%
2.5 goals 43.9% 56.1%
3.5 goals 22.8% 77.2%
4.5 goals 10.0% 90.0%
5.5 goals 3.8% 96.2%

Team goal lines

Petrolul over 0.5
72.3%
Petrolul over 1.5
36.7%
Petrolul over 2.5
13.9%
CFR Cluj over 0.5
68.3%
CFR Cluj over 1.5
31.9%
CFR Cluj over 2.5
11.0%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.4%

0

20.1%

1

26.6%

2

21.1%

3

12.8%

4

9.7%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

PetrolulBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5
CFR ClujBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

PetrolulPetrolulLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-1

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

CFR ClujCFR ClujLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1PetrolulPetrolul wins
1Draws
3CFR ClujCFR Cluj wins
1.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
2 – 1
PetrolulPetrolul
PetrolulPetrolul
1 – 0
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
2 – 0
PetrolulPetrolul
PetrolulPetrolul
0 – 0
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
PetrolulPetrolul
1 – 2
CFR ClujCFR Cluj

Match outlook

PickPetrolul38.9%
Draw28.7%
CFR Cluj32.4%

The model leans Petrolul to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 27,162 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 47.1% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 56.5%✗ 62.3%✗ 52.0%✗ 55.7%✓ 58.7%✓ 65.3%✗ 55.1%✓ 56.0%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 56.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 62.3%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 52.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 55.7%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 58.7%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Under 2.5 goals at 56.1%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. Recent output points the same way: Petrolul have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, CFR Cluj 1.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.9% for over 2.5 and 70.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Petrolul have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, CFR Cluj in 3 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 43.9% for three or more goals and 70.5% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Petrolul favoured at 38.9%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

38.9%Favoured: Petrolul
50.0%Both Teams to Score
43.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.1% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 43.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPetrolul are the model’s pick on the result at 38.9%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
PetrolulPetrolul

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CFR ClujCFR Cluj
Statistic
Petrolul
CFR Cluj
goals scored per game
1.4
1.5

goals conceded per game
1.3
1.5

Over 2.5 rate
46.2%
69.2%

1st-half goals per game
0.9
0.8

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Petrolul vs CFR Cluj?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 43.9% for Petrolul vs CFR Cluj.
How often have Petrolul gone over 2.5 recently?
Petrolul have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, CFR Cluj in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.