Serie A
Fiorentina vs 
Napoli Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 50.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Fiorentina have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded, Napoli 1.4 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.8% for over 2.5 and 72.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.4 goals a game. Fiorentina have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Napoli in 2 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.2
2.4
1.4
1.0
Each team to score
By half
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
50.3%Both Teams to Score45.8%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 45.8% for three or more goals and 72.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Napoli favoured at 47.4%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Napoli to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Fiorentina 0 · 1 draws · Napoli 4 · 3.4 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 50.3% for Fiorentina vs Napoli.
Will Fiorentina score against Napoli?
The model rates Fiorentina to score at 64.7% and Napoli to score at 76.8%.
How often have Fiorentina seen both teams score recently?
Fiorentina have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Napoli in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 26,670 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 16 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Serie A, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
