Everton vs Ipswich prediction & probabilities (2026-09-19)

Premier League

Everton vs Ipswich Both Teams to Score

2026-09-19 · 15:00
Both Teams to Score51.1%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 51.1%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
51%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 51.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Everton have averaged 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, Ipswich 1.6 and 2.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 49.1% for over 2.5 and 74.5% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Everton have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Ipswich in 4 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes51.1%

No48.9%

Over 2.5 · context49.1%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Everton scored

1.0

Everton conceded

0.8

Ipswich scored

1.6

Ipswich conceded

2.6

Each team to score

Everton to score80.9%

Everton 2+ goals49.3%

Ipswich to score62.4%

Ipswich 2+ goals25.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half22.8%

Both score in 2nd half29.8%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

7.7%

0

17.7%

1

25.5%

2

21.9%

3

14.4%

4

12.0%

5+

In-depth analysis

54.3%Favoured: Everton
51.1%Both Teams to Score
49.1%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 49.1% for three or more goals and 74.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Everton favoured at 54.3%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 51.1% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 49.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutEverton are the model’s pick on the result at 54.3%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Everton54.3%

Draw24.2%

Ipswich21.6%

The model leans Everton to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

C

Carlos AlcarazEverton · 3.02 shots/90
To score 5.4%

C

Chuba AkpomIpswich · 2.71 shots/90
To score 22.3%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

Form & head-to-head

EvertonLWDDD
IpswichLWLLW

Last 2 meetings: Everton 1 · 1 draws · Ipswich 0 · 3.0 goals/game.

Recent trends

EvertonBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 1/5
IpswichBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Everton vs Ipswich?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 51.1% for Everton vs Ipswich.

Will Everton score against Ipswich?
The model rates Everton to score at 80.9% and Ipswich to score at 62.4%.

How often have Everton seen both teams score recently?
Everton have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Ipswich in 4 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,462Matches graded

In 26,670 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 16 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 58.8%✓ 59.8%✗ 58.8%✗ 51.5%✓ 51.1%✓ 52.3%✗ 50.5%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.1%✗ 50.1%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Leeds vs Newcastle2026-09-14Yes 58.8%Hit
Villarreal vs Betis2026-09-14Yes 59.8%Hit
Como vs Parma2026-09-14No 58.8%Miss
Torino vs Roma2026-09-14Yes 51.5%Miss
Inter vs Udinese2026-09-14Yes 51.1%Hit

More Premier League, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.