Nottingham Forest vs Coventry prediction & probabilities (2026-09-19)

Premier League

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry Both Teams to Score

2026-09-19 · 17:30
Both Teams to Score52.0%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 52.0%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
52%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 52.0%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Nottingham Forest have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Coventry 0.0 and 2.5 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 51.1% for over 2.5 and 76.0% for at least two goals. Nottingham Forest have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Coventry in 0 of 4. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes52.0%

No48.0%

Over 2.5 · context51.1%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Nottingham Forest scored

1.0

Nottingham Forest conceded

1.0

Coventry scored

0.0

Coventry conceded

2.5

Each team to score

Nottingham Forest to score82.4%

Nottingham Forest 2+ goals51.8%

Coventry to score62.5%

Coventry 2+ goals25.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half13.1%

Both score in 2nd half24.5%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

7.2%

0

16.8%

1

24.9%

2

22.1%

3

15.0%

4

13.0%

5+

In-depth analysis

56.7%Favoured: Nottingham Forest
52.0%Both Teams to Score
51.1%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 51.1% for three or more goals and 76.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Nottingham Forest favoured at 56.7%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 52.0% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 51.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutNottingham Forest are the model’s pick on the result at 56.7%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Nottingham Forest56.7%

Draw24.3%

Coventry19.0%

The model leans Nottingham Forest to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

A

Arnaud Kalimuendo MuingaNottingham Forest · 2.38 shots/90
To score 31.2%

T

Taiwo AwoniyiCoventry · 2.65 shots/90
To score 10.7%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

Form & head-to-head

Nottingham ForestDLDDW
CoventryLLLL

Recent trends

Nottingham ForestBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5
CoventryBTTS 0/4Over 2.5 2/4

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 52.0% for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry.

Will Nottingham Forest score against Coventry?
The model rates Nottingham Forest to score at 82.4% and Coventry to score at 62.5%.

How often have Nottingham Forest seen both teams score recently?
Nottingham Forest have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Coventry in 0 of 4.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,462Matches graded

In 26,670 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 16 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 58.8%✓ 59.8%✗ 58.8%✗ 51.5%✓ 51.1%✓ 52.3%✗ 50.5%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.1%✗ 50.1%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Leeds vs Newcastle2026-09-14Yes 58.8%Hit
Villarreal vs Betis2026-09-14Yes 59.8%Hit
Como vs Parma2026-09-14No 58.8%Miss
Torino vs Roma2026-09-14Yes 51.5%Miss
Inter vs Udinese2026-09-14Yes 51.1%Hit

More Premier League, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.