Eliteserien
StartStartLWLLL
Full time1-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1016:00UK
SandefjordSandefjordDLWDL

Start 1-0 Sandefjord correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13%
0-1 correct score9.2%
1-2 correct score8.6%

Result

Start1-0Sandefjord

Final score 1-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 8.3%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.0%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Start goals, columns = Sandefjord goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.0%
  2. 0-19.2%
  3. 1-28.6%
  4. 1-08.3%
  5. 2-17.8%
  6. 0-07.7%
  7. 0-26.8%
  8. 2-05.7%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7% 9.2% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.3% 13% 8.6% 4% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Start · Columns: Sandefjord

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.7%

0

17.5%

1

25.5%

2

21.9%

3

14.5%

4

12.4%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

StartStartLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 1-6

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

SandefjordSandefjordLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-2

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0StartStart wins
1Draws
4SandefjordSandefjord wins
3.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
SandefjordSandefjord
3 – 0
StartStart
StartStart
0 – 1
SandefjordSandefjord
SandefjordSandefjord
2 – 2
StartStart
SandefjordSandefjord
4 – 1
StartStart
StartStart
1 – 4
SandefjordSandefjord

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 13.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Start have averaged 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded, Sandefjord 1.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 49.3% for over 2.5 and 74.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.6 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 49.3% for three or more goals and 74.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Sandefjord favoured at 39.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

39.2%Favoured: Sandefjord
54.3%Both Teams to Score
49.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 49.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSandefjord are the model’s pick on the result at 39.2%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Start vs Sandefjord?
Start vs Sandefjord finished 1-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.0%; it gave the actual 1-0 a 8.3% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Eliteserien, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.