Eliteserien
FredrikstadFredrikstadDDDLL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK
RosenborgRosenborgWWDWW

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12%
1-2 correct score9.4%
0-1 correct score8.7%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.0%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Fredrikstad goals, columns = Rosenborg goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.0%
  2. 1-29.4%
  3. 0-18.7%
  4. 0-27.6%
  5. 2-17.1%
  6. 1-06.5%
  7. 0-06.3%
  8. 2-25.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 8.7% 7.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5%
1 6.5% 12% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.1% 5.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Fredrikstad · Columns: Rosenborg

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.3%

0

15.2%

1

24.0%

2

22.3%

3

16.0%

4

15.4%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FredrikstadFredrikstadLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 1-5

0 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses

RosenborgRosenborgLast 5
W
Win · 5-3
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 3-0

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0FredrikstadFredrikstad wins
2Draws
3RosenborgRosenborg wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
RosenborgRosenborg
4 – 0
FredrikstadFredrikstad
FredrikstadFredrikstad
0 – 2
RosenborgRosenborg
RosenborgRosenborg
1 – 0
FredrikstadFredrikstad
FredrikstadFredrikstad
2 – 2
RosenborgRosenborg
RosenborgRosenborg
1 – 1
FredrikstadFredrikstad

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Fredrikstad have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded, Rosenborg 3.0 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.6% for over 2.5 and 78.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 54.6% for three or more goals and 78.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Rosenborg favoured at 46.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

46.2%Favoured: Rosenborg
57.6%Both Teams to Score
54.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 54.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutRosenborg are the model’s pick on the result at 46.2%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
The model's most likely scoreline for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg is 1-1 at 12.0%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.