Bundesliga
Schalke 04Schalke 04LDWDL
Full time0-1Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1014:30UK14°C · Cloudy
MainzMainzDWLWL

Schalke 04 0-1 Mainz both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes65.1%
Both teams to score: No34.9%

Result

Schalke 040-1Mainz
Yes

We called Yes at 65.1% and it missed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes65.1%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean65.1%
No34.9%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 64.0%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Schalke 04 scored
0.8
Schalke 04 conceded
1.2
Mainz scored
2.6
Mainz conceded
2.0

Each team to score

Schalke 04 to score77.1%
Schalke 04 2+ goals43.3%
Mainz to score83.9%
Mainz 2+ goals54.5%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.3%
Both score in 2nd half26.9%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.2%

0

11.2%

1

20.6%

2

22.0%

3

18.2%

4

22.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Schalke 04BTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5
MainzBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Schalke 04Schalke 04Last 5
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

MainzMainzLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 5-0
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 4-3
L
Loss · 3-4

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Schalke 04Schalke 04 wins
3Draws
0MainzMainz wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
MainzMainz
2 – 3
Schalke 04Schalke 04
Schalke 04Schalke 04
1 – 0
MainzMainz
Schalke 04Schalke 04
0 – 0
MainzMainz
MainzMainz
2 – 2
Schalke 04Schalke 04
MainzMainz
0 – 0
Schalke 04Schalke 04

Match outlook

Schalke 0430.2%
Draw23.7%
PickMainz46.1%

The model leans Mainz to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 65.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Schalke 04 have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Mainz 2.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 64.0% for over 2.5 and 84.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. Schalke 04 have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Mainz in 3 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 64.0% for three or more goals and 84.6% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Mainz favoured at 46.1%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

46.1%Favoured: Mainz
65.1%Both Teams to Score
64.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 65.1% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 64.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMainz are the model’s pick on the result at 46.1%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
Schalke 04Schalke 04

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

MainzMainz
Statistic
Schalke 04
Mainz
BTTS rate
40.0%
60.0%

clean sheets
40.0%
40.0%

goals scored per game
0.8
2.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Schalke 04Schalke 04 (1)
Junior Adamu
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
3.1%
32.26
1+ shot on target
32.1%
3.12
2+ shots
34.6%
2.89
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots1.96
On target0.62
Goals0.05
MainzMainz (1)
Sheraldo Becker
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
15.3%
6.54
1+ shot on target
48.6%
2.06
2+ shots
37.7%
2.65
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.52
On target1.28
Goals0.32

FAQ

Did both teams score in Schalke 04 vs Mainz?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 65.1%. Both teams did not both score, final score 0-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.