Championship
PrestonPrestonLDLLL
Full time1-1Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1015:00UK
West BromWest BromDLLWW

Preston 1-1 West Brom correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.6%
0-1 correct score11.7%
0-0 correct score10.1%

Result

Preston1-1West Brom

Final score 1-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 13.6%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.6%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Preston goals, columns = West Brom goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.6%
  2. 0-111.7%
  3. 0-010.1%
  4. 1-09.3%
  5. 1-28.5%
  6. 0-28.1%
  7. 2-16.8%
  8. 2-05.2%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1% 11.7% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.3% 13.6% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.8% 4.5% 2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Preston · Columns: West Brom

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

10.1%

0

21.0%

1

26.9%

2

20.7%

3

12.2%

4

8.8%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

PrestonPrestonLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-4
L
Loss · 1-4

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

West BromWest BromLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0PrestonPreston wins
1Draws
4West BromWest Brom wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
PrestonPreston
0 – 2
West BromWest Brom
West BromWest Brom
2 – 1
PrestonPreston
West BromWest Brom
3 – 1
PrestonPreston
PrestonPreston
1 – 1
West BromWest Brom
West BromWest Brom
3 – 0
PrestonPreston

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 13.6% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Preston have averaged 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded, West Brom 1.2 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 41.9% for over 2.5 and 68.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 41.9% for three or more goals and 68.9% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given West Brom favoured at 41.9%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

41.9%Favoured: West Brom
48.1%Both Teams to Score
41.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 41.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWest Brom are the model’s pick on the result at 41.9%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Preston vs West Brom?
Preston vs West Brom finished 1-1, exactly the model's most likely scoreline (13.6%).
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Championship, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.