Championship
Sheffield UnitedSheff UtdLWLWD
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1020:00UK
WrexhamWrexhamWDLWL

Sheffield United vs Wrexham correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12%
2-1 correct score9.5%
1-0 correct score9.1%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.0%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Sheffield United goals, columns = Wrexham goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.0%
  2. 2-19.5%
  3. 1-09.1%
  4. 2-08.0%
  5. 1-26.8%
  6. 0-06.4%
  7. 0-16.4%
  8. 2-25.6%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4% 6.4% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.1% 12% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8% 9.5% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: Wrexham

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.4%

0

15.5%

1

24.1%

2

22.3%

3

15.8%

4

15.0%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Sheffield UnitedSheff UtdLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

WrexhamWrexhamLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 4-1
L
Loss · 0-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd wins
0Draws
2WrexhamWrexham wins
5.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd
1 – 2
WrexhamWrexham
WrexhamWrexham
5 – 3
Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Sheffield United have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, Wrexham 1.6 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.0% for over 2.5 and 78.1% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 5.5 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 54.0% for three or more goals and 78.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Sheffield United favoured at 47.6%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.6%Favoured: Sheffield United
56.7%Both Teams to Score
54.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 54.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSheffield United are the model’s pick on the result at 47.6%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Sheffield United vs Wrexham?
The model's most likely scoreline for Sheffield United vs Wrexham is 1-1 at 12.0%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.