Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs 
AZ Alkmaar Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 64.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Feyenoord have averaged 3.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, AZ Alkmaar 3.0 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 63.6% for over 2.5 and 84.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Feyenoord have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, AZ Alkmaar in 4 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
3.8
1.4
3.0
1.2
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
57.1%Feyenoord BTTS rate42.9%Feyenoord clean sheets
3.9Feyenoord goals scored per game66.7%AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate33.3%AZ Alkmaar clean sheets2.8AZ Alkmaar goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
64.3%Both Teams to Score63.6%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 63.6% for three or more goals and 84.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Feyenoord favoured at 48.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Feyenoord to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Feyenoord 3 · 2 draws · AZ Alkmaar 0 · 3.0 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 64.3% for Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar.
Will Feyenoord score against AZ Alkmaar?
The model rates Feyenoord to score at 84.8% and AZ Alkmaar to score at 75.3%.
How often have Feyenoord seen both teams score recently?
Feyenoord have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, AZ Alkmaar in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 5,771 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.9% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Eredivisie, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
