Super League Greece
PAOKPAOKWWLWW
Full time1-3Mon, 12 Oct 202612/1016:00UK
KalamataKalamataLLDWL

PAOK 1-3 Kalamata both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No53.4%
Both teams to score: Yes46.6%

Result

PAOK1-3Kalamata
No

We called No at 53.4% and it missed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No53.4%

Both Teams to Score

Yes46.6%
NoModel lean53.4%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 57.6%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

PAOK scored
2.4
PAOK conceded
1.0
Kalamata scored
1.2
Kalamata conceded
1.6

Each team to score

PAOK to score89.6%
PAOK 2+ goals66.2%
Kalamata to score51.5%
Kalamata 2+ goals16.4%

By half

Both score in 1st half18.1%
Both score in 2nd half26.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.4%

0

14.2%

1

22.8%

2

22.3%

3

16.8%

4

15.6%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

PAOKBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5
KalamataBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

PAOKPAOKLast 5
W
Win · 4-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 3-1

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

KalamataKalamataLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

PickPAOK71.9%
Draw18.1%
Kalamata9.9%

The model leans PAOK to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 26,175 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 53.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: PAOK have averaged 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, Kalamata 1.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.6% for over 2.5 and 80.4% for at least two goals. PAOK have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Kalamata in 3 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 57.6% for three or more goals and 80.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given PAOK favoured at 71.9%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

71.9%Favoured: PAOK
46.6%Both Teams to Score
57.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.4% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 57.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPAOK are the model’s pick on the result at 71.9%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
PAOKPAOK

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KalamataKalamata
Statistic
PAOK
Kalamata
BTTS rate
60.0%
60.0%

clean sheets
40.0%
0.0%

goals scored per game
2.4
1.2

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in PAOK vs Kalamata?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 46.6%. Both teams scored, final score 1-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Super League Greece, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.