OsasunaOsasunaLDLWL
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Ath BilbaoAth BilbaoDDLWWOsasuna vs Athletic Bilbao corners prediction
Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Model read
Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.
Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.
Conviction: Lean
Over 9.5 corners47.6%
Corners
Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Osasuna.
Total corners
Both teams combined.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| 9.5 corners | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| 10.5 corners | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| 11.5 corners | 25.9% | 74.1% |
| 12.5 corners | 17.7% | 82.3% |
Who wins the corner count
Osasuna
Ath BilbaoTeam corners lines
Osasuna
Ath Bilbao
Corner handicap
The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Osasuna's; Ath Bilbao gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.
| Osasuna line | Osasuna | Ath Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| -0.5 | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| +0.5 | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| +1.5 | 72.3% | 27.8% |
Corner trends
2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Osasuna at home and Ath Bilbao away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,999 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 47.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 71.7% for over 7.5 to 17.7% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.6%. Head to head on corners, Osasuna are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.2%, with a level count at 11.0%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.
In-depth analysis
By team, Osasuna over 4.5 corners sits at 55.0% and Ath Bilbao at 44.8%. This season Osasuna have averaged 3.6 corners won a game and Ath Bilbao 6.5.
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
This season
2026/27 · Recorded results.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
FAQ
How many corners in Osasuna vs Ath Bilbao?
Which team will win the corner count in Osasuna vs Ath Bilbao?
How many corners do Osasuna and Ath Bilbao average this season?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
More La Liga, Corners
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
